lemmings cliff rocks splat
Your dad's lips to "God's" ear.
FiveThirtyEight.com thinks Florida leans to Obama right at the moment. That includes the Rasmussen poll you point to. It's within the MOE, but a lot of the newer polls they list appear to me to be more favorable to Obama. I wouldn't count on either outcome, but just looking at FiveThirtyEight's numbers, it's certainly possible your father is correct here. (At the link above, scroll down to the Poll Detail list on the right, then scroll further down to Florida.)
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